Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.000032 0.000035 0.000038 0.000042 0.000045 0.000049 0.000054
2025-12-14 0.000027 0.000031 0.000035 0.000040 0.000045 0.000052 0.000060
2025-12-21 0.000024 0.000028 0.000033 0.000039 0.000045 0.000053 0.000064
2025-12-28 0.000022 0.000026 0.000031 0.000037 0.000045 0.000054 0.000066
2026-01-04 0.000020 0.000024 0.000029 0.000035 0.000044 0.000054 0.000069
2026-01-11 0.000018 0.000023 0.000028 0.000035 0.000044 0.000056 0.000073
2026-01-18 0.000018 0.000022 0.000028 0.000036 0.000046 0.000060 0.000080
2026-01-25 0.000020 0.000025 0.000032 0.000042 0.000056 0.000075 0.000103
2026-02-01 0.000018 0.000024 0.000031 0.000041 0.000055 0.000074 0.000103
2026-02-08 0.000017 0.000022 0.000029 0.000039 0.000053 0.000073 0.000104
2026-02-15 0.000016 0.000021 0.000028 0.000038 0.000053 0.000074 0.000108
2026-02-22 0.000015 0.000020 0.000027 0.000038 0.000053 0.000075 0.000111
2026-03-01 0.000014 0.000019 0.000026 0.000036 0.000052 0.000075 0.000113
2026-03-08 0.000013 0.000018 0.000024 0.000035 0.000050 0.000074 0.000115
2026-03-15 0.000012 0.000017 0.000023 0.000033 0.000049 0.000074 0.000118
2026-03-22 0.000011 0.000016 0.000022 0.000032 0.000048 0.000074 0.000119
2026-03-29 0.000010 0.000015 0.000021 0.000031 0.000047 0.000073 0.000120
2026-04-05 0.000010 0.000014 0.000020 0.000030 0.000047 0.000074 0.000125
2026-04-12 0.000010 0.000014 0.000020 0.000031 0.000049 0.000079 0.000136
2026-04-19 0.000011 0.000016 0.000024 0.000037 0.000060 0.000099 0.000178
2026-04-26 0.000010 0.000015 0.000022 0.000035 0.000058 0.000097 0.000178
2026-05-03 0.000009 0.000014 0.000021 0.000034 0.000056 0.000096 0.000178
2026-05-10 0.000009 0.000013 0.000021 0.000033 0.000056 0.000097 0.000183